South Dakota’s November 3, 2026 general election produced 310,298 ballots cast from 628,563 registered voters, for 49.37% turnout—well below the 59.4% recorded in the 2022 midterm. The Senate contest between incumbent Republican Mike Rounds and independent Brian Bengs was not viewed as highly competitive, reducing voter mobilization across parties. Lower enthusiasm followed a less contested primary cycle, complex ballot measures that may have confused some participants, and limited Democratic turnout in a heavily Republican state. These factors aligned with historical patterns of depressed participation in non-presidential years lacking tight statewide races. Trader consensus now centers on the 300K-325K bucket at 89.5% as final certified totals remain near the preliminary count, with narrower adjacent ranges reflecting only minor outstanding provisional or late-reported ballots.
此市場將根據 2026 年南達科他州聯邦參議員期中選舉中投下的有效票總數進行結算。 如果公布的數值恰好落在兩個級距之間,本市場將按較高的級距結算。 如果截至 2027年3月31日 下午11:59 ET,指定選舉的結果仍未獲得確定確認,此市場將按最低區間結算。 指定選舉中所有經認證投給候選人或非候選人選項的選票均計入。被判定無效的選票或空白票不計入。在排序選擇制或偏好投票制中,將採用第一輪的總票數。 此市場的主要結算依據將是 2026 年南達科他州聯邦參議員期中選舉的官方結果,由負責認證選舉結果的州選舉機關發布;但也可採用可信報導所呈現的壓倒性共識。
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