The by-election in Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton, called for December 7, 2026, after the resignation of independent MP Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay, centers on a contest between Bloc Québécois candidate Caroline Émond and Liberal candidate Chantal Soucy. Émond’s nomination in July 2026 highlighted her background in international trade, agriculture, and dairy policy, aligning with the riding’s agri-food economy and the party’s strong 2025 result near 44 percent. Soucy, a former CAQ MNA for the overlapping provincial riding who joined the Liberals in late October, brings local name recognition and legislative experience that has narrowed but not erased the Bloc’s projected lead in recent models. Conservative and NDP candidates trail further behind, with forecasts assigning the Bloc roughly two-thirds probability of victory based on historical patterns and current polling trends.
加拿大聯邦選區 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 的補選目前預定於2026年12月7日舉行。 本市場將根據在 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 2026 年補選中勝出的候選人進行結算。 如果截至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 尚未確切得知選舉結果,此市場將結算為「其他」。 此市場的結算來源將是可信報導的共識。如有任何疑義,此市場將僅根據 Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/) 公布的官方選舉結果進行結算。
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