Recent Republican setbacks in the 2026 midterms have heightened uncertainty over the 2028 presidential nominee, keeping the vice-presidential field fragmented among figures with distinct profiles. Marco Rubio leads at 27% due to his Senate tenure, foreign-policy role, and broad party appeal, while Tucker Carlson sits at 23.7% from strong media influence within conservative circles. Brian Kemp and Rand Paul follow with executive and libertarian credentials that attract specific blocs. No single contender has consolidated support, as traders weigh Senate confirmation patterns, primary dynamics, and potential ticket-balancing needs. Upcoming legislative sessions, early primary signals, or explicit endorsements from party leaders could shift probabilities by clarifying alignments or highlighting electability gaps.
本市場將根據在 2028 年總統選舉週期中,首位獲共和黨正式提名出任美國副總統並接受提名的人士來結算。 本市場的結算將以 GOP 官方來源的共識為準,其中包括 https://www.gop.com。 在選舉日前更換提名人選,不會改變本市場的結算結果。
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