- 普丁會在2026年12月31日之前訪問美國嗎？11¢11%
Ongoing US-Russia tensions rooted in the Ukraine conflict and associated sanctions have kept high-level bilateral diplomacy limited, supporting the 86% trader consensus against Putin visiting the United States by December 31, 2026. No official invitations, scheduling announcements, or major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred in recent months, with engagement confined to lower-level or multilateral channels. Structural barriers include unresolved sanctions regimes, differing positions on territorial issues, and the absence of normalized summit protocols. A visit would likely require verifiable progress on ceasefire talks or policy adjustments that have yet to develop, leaving the outcome improbable within the resolution window absent unexpected shifts.
規則
如果弗拉基米爾·普丁在市場建立後、指定日期 下午11:59 ET 之前訪問美國，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 就本市場而言，「訪問」是指弗拉基米爾·普丁親自進入美國的陸地或海域。在本市場的時間範圍內，弗拉基米爾·普丁是否進入美國領空，均不影響本市場以肯定結果結算。 此資訊的主要判定來源為美國或俄羅斯的官方資訊；不過，也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
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