- Prince Andrew 會被判處監禁嗎？3¢3%
Prince Andrew, now known as Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces an ongoing UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his former role as trade envoy and links with Jeffrey Epstein. He was arrested in February 2026, questioned, and released under investigation without charges. In October 2026, the High Court quashed search warrants after police conceded a procedural error, though officers maintain the probe continues and are seeking to retain seized material pending a 2027 ruling. The offense is complex to prosecute, carries no standard sentencing guidelines, and has not produced charges despite months of scrutiny. Traders' strong "No" consensus reflects these barriers and the absence of formal proceedings, while low-probability shifts could stem from successful retention of evidence leading to charges or unexpected new developments in the lengthy inquiry.
規則
如果 Prince Andrew 因任何指控於 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前被判處任何時間的監禁，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 本市場將持續開放至 2026年12月31日，或直至 Prince Andrew 被判處監禁為止；無論最初的判決是否包含監禁，皆不影響此規則。任何判決均符合條件，不受後續上訴或刑期變更影響。 民事訴訟、監管行動、行政申訴、未提出指控的調查、內部僱傭措施，或未提出刑事指控的公開指控，均不符合條件，即使這些事件受到廣泛報導，或在口語中被稱為「指控」也一樣。 如果在任何時候，所有刑事案件中對 Prince Andrew 提出的所有指控都因任何原因撤銷，包括在未承認有罪的情況下達成認罪協議、案件遭駁回，或法院未作出且不會作出任何判決的其他情況，本市場將判定為「否」。 本市場的主要判定依據為相關政府及執法機關的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。