MrBeast’s announcement of a major Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4–tied video, positioned as one of his biggest COD releases ever, has driven the market’s strong consensus toward the 92–96M bracket for day-2 views at 57.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the video’s expected launch momentum from the game’s simultaneous release, MrBeast’s established pattern of sustained early engagement on high-profile challenges, and his recent record 70M-plus first-day performance on the grocery-store video. The 88–92M range at 32% reflects the possibility of slightly slower second-day growth after an initial surge, while lower and higher brackets remain thinly traded. The video’s release tomorrow and the first chart-update windows will serve as immediate catalysts for any momentum shifts.
此市場將根據 MrBeast 最新發布的 YouTube 影片在發布後 48 小時內的觀看次數結算。本市場可能要等到 48 小時結束後才會結算,不論是否較早達到門檻。 如果公布的數值恰好落在兩個級距之間,本市場將按較高的級距結算。 此市場的結算依據是 MrBeast 的 YouTube 頻道(https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast),具體而言,是上述影片的「觀看次數」計數器。 如果在指定期間結束時無法取得結算來源,此市場將根據指定期間結束前可取得的最新觀看次數來結算。 注意:此市場僅涉及 MrBeast 的影片「Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000」(參見:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw)。
機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。