- Nothing 若有朝一日發生：Obama96¢96%
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
規則
若市場建立至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 之間符合以下任何一項條件，此市場將判定為「Something」： - Obama 遭聯邦起訴 - Obama 遭逮捕 - Obama 離婚 否則，此市場將判定為「Nothing」。 本市場的完整規則請見此處： https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。