- 民主黨候選人會贏得北卡羅來納州最高法院大選嗎？97¢97%
- 共和黨候選人會贏得北卡羅來納州最高法院大選嗎？<1¢<1%
Anita Earls holds a commanding trader consensus position as the North Carolina Supreme Court seat's likely winner due to her incumbency since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million compared to Stevens' under $258,000, and consistent polling leads of 7-8 points in recent surveys of likely voters. As the sole statewide judicial race on the November 3 ballot, the contest centers on preserving the court's 5-2 Republican majority or expanding it to 6-1, with implications for 2028 seat control. Stevens, a former state House member, has maintained limited public visibility and advertising. Market pricing diverges from narrower polling margins, reflecting trader emphasis on structural advantages for the incumbent. Late shifts among undecided voters or post-election legal disputes could still alter the outcome before final certification.
規則
本市場將根據 2026 年北卡羅來納州最高法院選舉的勝選者結算。 若某候選人獲相關政黨提名，則視為代表該政黨。民主黨或共和黨提名人選以外的候選人（例如綠黨、自由意志黨或無黨籍候選人）可能會在日後加入。 以無黨籍身分參選的候選人，不論其與該政黨有任何關聯，都不會納入「民主黨」或「共和黨」選項。 本市場的結算依據為 Associated Press、Fox News 和 NBC。三個來源都宣布同一位候選人勝選後，本市場即會結算。如果三個消息來源都未在此州宣布同一位候選人勝選，此市場將根據官方認證結果結算。
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