- Bola Tinubu 會贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉嗎？70¢
- Peter Obi 會贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉嗎？24¢
- Omoyele Sowore 會贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉嗎？<1¢
- Rabiu Kwankwaso 會贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉嗎？<1¢
- Rotimi Amaechi 會贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉嗎？<1¢
Bola Tinubu holds the leading position in trader consensus for the January 2027 Nigerian presidential election due to incumbency advantages, including the All Progressives Congress control of approximately 31 states, a network of governors, and established regional alliances, particularly in the South-West. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this positioning, as attempts to form a unified front involving Peter Obi of the Nigeria Democratic Congress and Atiku Abubakar of the African Democratic Congress collapsed amid internal disputes and separate party tickets, raising the prospect of a divided anti-incumbent vote similar to 2023 dynamics. Recent developments, including defections to the APC and mixed voter sentiment surveys showing economic and security concerns, have not yet shifted the market's assessment of Tinubu's organizational edge ahead of the formal campaign period.
規則
奈及利亞總統選舉預定於 2027年1月16日 舉行。 此市場將根據名單中贏得 2027 年奈及利亞總統選舉的候選人來結算。 本市場包含任何可能的第二輪投票。 若截至2027年10月31日 下午11:59 ET仍無法確定結果，本市場將結算為「其他」。 本市場將根據本次選舉的結果結算，結果以可信媒體報導的共識為準。如有任何歧義，此市場將僅根據奈及利亞政府來源公布的官方結果結算，包括獨立國家選舉委員會 (https://www.inecnigeria.org/)。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。