- Nigel Farage 到 2026年12月31日 前會不再擔任 Reform UK 領袖嗎？6¢6%
- Nigel Farage 到 2027年3月31日 前會不再擔任 Reform UK 領袖嗎？20¢20%
Nigel Farage remains Reform UK leader amid ongoing scrutiny over an undeclared £5 million gift from a cryptocurrency donor, with the parliamentary standards commissioner expected to issue a verdict imminently following an October interview. Adverse findings could lead to suspension from the Commons and trigger a recall petition in his Clacton seat, though the party plans to appeal. Recent YouGov polling shows Reform UK at 21 percent in third place, with Farage trailing other party leaders in head-to-head matchups and personal approval ratings at multi-year lows. The party has faced additional probes into donation practices and internal adviser departures after undercover reporting. Farage has countered with policy announcements on immigration and citizenship reviews while maintaining active public campaigning, and Reform secured local council gains earlier in 2026. An early general election or further legal developments could influence leadership stability in the coming months.
規則
如果 Nigel Farage 在市場建立至 2027年3月31日, 下午11:59 ET 期間的任何一段時間不再擔任 Reform UK 領袖，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在此市場結束日期之前宣布 Nigel Farage 辭職或被免職，無論該宣布的辭職或免職何時生效，此市場都將立即判定為 「是」。 此市場的判定依據將是 Reform UK 提供的資訊，但可信報導所形成的共識也足以作為依據。
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