- 下一場英國國會補選會在12月31日之前宣布嗎？26¢26%
No parliamentary by-election has a confirmed date as of late October 2026, following the 8 October contest in Holborn and St Pancras triggered by Keir Starmer’s September resignation. Westminster vacancies arise through resignations via offices of profit, deaths, disqualifications, or recalls, after which the Speaker moves the writ, usually within three months. Local council by-elections occur regularly in coming weeks across multiple authorities, yet these do not affect the timing of parliamentary contests. Market participants watch for MP announcements, leadership transitions under Prime Minister Andy Burnham, or health-related developments that could prompt further vacancies before the next general election.
規則
如果英國王室大法官書記官（Clerk of the Crown in Chancery）在指定日期 下午11:59 ET 前，發出要求在英國國會選區舉行國會補選的選舉令，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 選舉令的發布必須在指定時間範圍內獲得確認，才符合資格。 只有在市場建立後發出的選舉令才會計入。Holborn and St Pancras 補選的選舉令在市場建立前已發出，因此不符合資格。 本市場判定的主要依據將是英國政府的官方資訊，包括英國國會以及負責舉行選舉的相關地方政府；但也會參考可信報導的一致結論。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。