- Chuck Schumer 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？84¢84%
- Chris Van Hollen 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？5¢5%
- Brian Schatz 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？5¢5%
- John Thune 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- John Barrasso 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Steve Daines 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Tom Cotton 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Amy Klobuchar 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Patty Murray 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Cory Booker 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
- Mark Kelly 會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？<1¢<1%
Democrats' recapture of Senate majority control in the 2026 midterms, with projected gains of seven or more seats including flips in states such as Texas, South Carolina, and Kansas, has positioned Chuck Schumer as the clear frontrunner to serve as majority leader. Schumer has publicly stated he expects re-election by the Democratic caucus in early December leadership votes, citing broad internal support despite limited dissent from some incoming senators-elect. No prominent challenger has consolidated opposition, and the caucus's simple-majority threshold favors the incumbent's experience managing floor proceedings and committee assignments. Lower-priced outcomes such as Chris Van Hollen reflect speculation over potential generational shifts but lack organized backing. Republican candidates remain sidelined given the chamber's partisan balance, with trader pricing aligned to confirmed election results and the scheduled internal vote timeline.
規則
本市場將根據在 2026年11月3日 美國大選之後獲宣布為下一任參議院多數黨領袖的人選進行結算。 本市場將保持開放至 2027年1月3日，屆時將根據在美國參議院中持有多數席位的政黨首次宣布下一任參議院多數黨領袖的人選進行結算。 如果未能確立多數席位，且截至 2027年6月30日、下午11:59 ET 仍未宣布領袖，本市場將以「其他」結算。
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