Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads the market at 68% as the incumbent New Democracy leader following his party's strong but inconclusive performance in the recent Greek parliamentary election, where it secured a large plurality yet fell short of an absolute majority under the proportional system. Traders price in his strong position ahead of the expected repeat vote, supported by polling showing New Democracy ahead and Mitsotakis as the preferred choice for prime minister amid ongoing negotiations and a caretaker administration. Lower-priced outcomes such as Maria Karystianou at 8.5%, Alexis Tsipras at 8.1%, and Nikos Androulakis at 7.9% reflect fragmented opposition support, with Karystianou's "Hope for Democracy" party drawing limited backing tied to the Tempi rail crash accountability movement. Other listed figures remain in single digits due to weaker polling and coalition challenges in Greece's multiparty system.
本市場將以在下一次國會選舉後,正式獲任命並宣誓就任希臘總理的下一位人選作為結算依據。若提前舉行選舉,本市場將立即以該次選舉後正式獲任命並宣誓就任的人士作為結算結果。 若要符合結算資格,該人選必須在指定日期前正式宣誓就職。任何臨時或看守總理均不計入本市場的結算。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 下午11:59 ET,仍沒有符合上述條件的總理就任,本市場將結算為「其他」。 本市場將根據可信新聞報導所形成的共識進行判定。如有任何歧義,本市場將僅根據希臘政府的官方資訊結算。
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