- Mohammed Ghalibaf 會在 2026年12月31日 前卸任伊朗議會議長嗎？8¢8%
Ghalibaf’s position as Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly remains stable following his re-election in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with 235 votes. Internal challenges from a small group of ultraconservative lawmakers in June over his role in US negotiations did not gain traction, as supporters retained a clear majority. Recent parliamentary sessions and public statements through early November 2026 show him actively leading on diplomatic responses and security matters amid ongoing regional tensions. Key upcoming factors include any scheduled Majlis leadership votes, coalition shifts within conservative factions, or developments in indirect US talks that could alter internal alignments before the market’s resolution date.
規則
如果 Mohammed Ghalibaf 在市場建立日至指定日期（ET）之間的任何一段時間內不再擔任伊朗議會議長，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在本市場結束日期前宣布 Mohammed Ghalibaf 辭職或遭免職，本市場將立即判定為「是」，不論公告中的辭職或免職何時生效。 如果指定人士遭到拘留、實際上被撤離指定職位，或在本市場的時間範圍內以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定職位的職責，則符合結算為「是」的條件。 本市場的判定依據為 Mohammed Ghalibaf 及伊朗政府的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。