- MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?45¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The rarity of a four-home-run game—only 21 instances in MLB history, with three occurring in 2025—creates a near-even market at 50.4% for Yes in 2026. No such performance has been recorded yet this season despite elevated power output, including the Cubs’ franchise-record nine home runs in one August contest and multiple three-homer games by players such as Alex Bregman and Pete Crow-Armstrong. Elite sluggers including Kyle Schwarber, Aaron Judge, and Junior Caminero remain active with strong home-run rates, yet the feat requires an extraordinary alignment of timing, favorable matchups against weaker pitching staffs, and sustained offensive conditions in the final month. A late surge in individual power or continued high team home-run totals could shift sentiment toward Yes, while a cooling in slugging or fewer high-leverage opportunities would favor No.