- Mary Peltola 會在1月31日前被起訴嗎？11¢11%
Recent reporting from late October 2026 triggered escalated federal and state scrutiny of Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign over allegations that operatives recruited an independent candidate named Dan J. Sullivan to appear on the ballot alongside incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, potentially confusing voters in Alaska’s ranked-choice election. The Department of Justice confirmed an ongoing criminal probe that intensified after grand jury subpoenas and record-preservation demands, while Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy directed the Department of Public Safety to examine possible state-law violations. Peltola and her campaign have denied involvement or knowledge. As of early November 2026, no charges have been filed despite months of prior federal attention, and the timeline to January 31 leaves limited room for completing discovery, review, and charging decisions in a politically sensitive election-related matter. Trader consensus at 91.5% against charges by that date reflects these procedural realities and the absence of imminent indictments.
規則
如果美國任何聯邦或州司法管轄區在市場建立至2027年1月31日、下午11:59 ET期間，正式起訴 Mary Peltola，或以其他方式宣布對她提出刑事起訴，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 就本市場而言，哥倫比亞特區以及任何州的任何郡、市或其他次級行政區均納入「州」的定義。 本市場的主要判定依據為美國政府來源的官方資訊；不過，也會參考可信報導的廣泛共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。