- Lee Jae-myung 會在 2027 年之前遭到彈劾嗎？6¢6%
President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, making it structurally difficult for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote required for impeachment. Recent polling shows his approval rating fluctuating in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s, with no sustained collapse that would shift cross-party support. Opposition criticism has centered on budget debates, suspended criminal cases, and judicial nominations, but these have produced routine parliamentary friction rather than viable impeachment momentum. A 2026 petition drive reached signature thresholds yet stalled without committee advancement. Traders appear to view the combination of institutional barriers, party arithmetic, and absence of acute catalysts as preserving the current trajectory through the end of 2026.
規則
如果南韓國會在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式彈劾南韓總統 Lee Jae-myung，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 此市場要判定為「是」，只需國會提出並通過一項針對 Lee Jae-myung 的彈劾案，無論憲法法院之後是否維持彈劾決定。 此市場的主要判定來源為南韓政府的官方資訊，但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。