- 2026 年會否制定禁止體育預測市場的法律？7¢7%
Trader consensus against a 2026 federal law banning sports prediction markets stems from active CFTC oversight and proposed rules that classify most event contracts as swaps while excluding only casino-style products. State-level efforts, such as Minnesota’s blocked felony ban and cease-and-desist actions in roughly 20 states, remain fragmented and subject to federal preemption challenges amid circuit splits now before the Supreme Court. A March bipartisan Senate bill targeting sports contracts has seen no further movement, while industry lobbying and CFTC guidance favor regulated operation over prohibition. Ongoing litigation and regulatory proposals through late 2026 continue to support platform access in most jurisdictions rather than nationwide legislative shutdown.
規則
如果任何一項法案在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前簽署成為法律，且其效果是禁止受 CFTC 監管的預測市場提供體育博彩合約，本市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 任何禁止受聯邦監管的預測市場提供體育博彩合約，或以其他方式將此類活動置於州級賭博監管而非聯邦監管監督之下的法案，均符合以「是」結算的條件。 符合資格的立法可包括兩院共同決議，且必須經眾議院和參議院通過，並由總統簽署；或在國會仍在會期時未經簽署而成為法律；或透過推翻否決而成為法律。到期失效的總統擱置否決將以「否」結算。 本市場結算的主要依據將是美國聯邦政府及美國商品期貨交易委員會（CFTC）的官方資訊；此外，也會採納可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。