- Lai Ching-te 會在 6月30日 前訪問美國嗎？12¢12%
- Lai Ching-te 會在 12月31日 前訪問美國嗎？2¢2%
Taiwan President Lai Ching-te began a transit stop in Hawaii on October 18, 2026, en route to Pacific allies Marshall Islands, Tuvalu, and Palau, with a planned Guam overnight—marking his first overseas trip since taking office. This follows earlier 2024 transits through the same U.S. territories and comes amid U.S. approvals for F-16 parts and radar systems sales valued at $385 million. Prior 2025 efforts for continental U.S. stops reportedly faced delays or blocks under the second Trump administration due to Beijing's objections. Ongoing U.S.-Taiwan economic and security talks, including tariff adjustments and AI/semiconductor supply-chain cooperation, alongside Lai's National Day remarks welcoming U.S.-China dialogue while stressing Taiwan's defense needs, shape expectations. Chinese diplomatic and military pressure remains a consistent constraint on higher-profile visits. Scheduled events like legislative meetings and future ally trips within the resolution window could influence outcomes.
規則
如果 Lai Ching-te 在市場建立至指定日期 下午11:59 ET 之間訪問美國，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 就本市場而言，「訪問」是指 Lai Ching-te 親自進入美國的陸地或海上領土。在本市場的期間內，Lai Ching-te 是否進入美國領空，均不會影響市場判定為肯定結果。 此資訊的主要判定來源為美國或台灣的官方資訊；不過，也會採納可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。