- Lai Ching-te 會在12月31日前遭到彈劾嗎？22¢22%
Taiwan’s opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan, led by the KMT and TPP, remains in a constitutional standoff with President Lai Ching-te’s DPP executive over the refusal to countersign passed legislation, including revenue allocation changes and budget measures. This impasse triggered impeachment proceedings last year that reached a floor vote in May 2026 but fell short of the required two-thirds majority. Opposition lawmakers continue to press for dialogue to resolve the deadlock, while Lai’s October 2026 National Day address emphasized cross-strait tensions and defense priorities without directly addressing the domestic rift. Any renewed motion would again need supermajority legislative support before referral to the Constitutional Court, amid scheduled budget deliberations that could intensify pressure on both sides.
規則
如果台灣總統 Lai Ching-te 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前遭立法院正式彈劾，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 本市場要判定為「是」，只需立法院提出並通過對 Lai Ching-te 的彈劾案；無論憲法法庭之後是否維持彈劾結果，皆不影響判定。 本市場判定的主要依據為台灣政府的官方資訊，但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。