- 日本會在 2026 年解密新的 UFO 檔案嗎？5¢5%
Japan maintains a measured approach to unidentified anomalous phenomena, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of government-held UAP materials would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. Tokyo has confirmed possession of relevant footage and continues analyzing U.S. disclosures, including incidents near Japanese airspace, yet has established no dedicated UAP office or systematic declassification process. A cross-party parliamentary group has advocated for centralized handling, but structural priorities favor security coordination with allies over broad transparency. This framework underpins trader consensus against new Japanese file releases in 2026, though a major security incident, allied agreement, or legislative mandate could still prompt limited disclosure before year-end.
規則
如果日本政府在市場建立至 2026年12月31日、下午11:59 ET 之間，解密任何先前未公開、涉及外星生命和／或不明空中現象的檔案，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 就本市場而言，只有來自日本中央政府的資訊才符合資格。個別都道府縣或市町村的資訊不足以判定本市場。 未能在本市場期限內實際執行的解密公告不予計入。 解密事項的主要判定來源為日本政府的官方資訊；但也會參考可信報導的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。