- 以色列和印尼會在2026年12月31日前實現關係正常化嗎？2¢2%
Indonesia maintains no formal diplomatic relations with Israel, conditioning any normalization on prior Israeli recognition of a sovereign Palestinian state with 1967 borders and East Jerusalem as capital. President Prabowo Subianto has signaled conditional openness, stating at the September 2025 UN General Assembly that Indonesia would recognize Israel immediately upon such acknowledgment while guaranteeing Israeli security, and he offered troops for a potential Gaza stabilization force after the 2025 ceasefire. However, recent bilateral talks with Egypt in October 2026 reaffirmed condemnation of Israeli settlements and commitment to the two-state solution, with officials explicitly ruling out Abraham Accords-style normalization absent Palestinian statehood. Domestic Islamic groups continue pressuring against perceived ties, and leaked reports of a Prabowo visit to Israel in late 2025 were denied. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers alongside limited diplomatic openings tied to Gaza progress or external incentives.
規則
如果 Israel 和 Indonesia 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布建立外交關係，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 此市場的主要判定依據為 Israel 和 Indonesia 的官方資訊，但也可採用可信報導的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。