- Cheng Chao-fang 會贏得下一屆新竹縣縣長選舉嗎？70¢70%
- Hsu Hsin-ying 會贏得下一屆新竹縣縣長選舉嗎？30¢30%
- Lin Szu-ming 會贏得下一屆新竹縣縣長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
- Chen Chien-hsien 會贏得下一屆新竹縣縣長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
Cheng Chao-fang leads Polymarket trader consensus for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, reflecting his June DPP nomination as Zhubei mayor and recent internal polls showing him ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by 10–15 points. Cheng has drawn support from TPP voters and independents through emphasis on local governance, urban-rural balance, and cross-partisan appeals, aided by the collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination in Zhubei. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces challenges from lingering party divisions and uneven geographic strength outside urban centers. Mixed external surveys, including one showing Hsu ahead by 6 points, and low probabilities for independents like Chu Ting-yu underscore the two-candidate dynamic heading into the final weeks.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 此市場將根據在這次選舉中當選新竹縣下一任縣長的候選人來結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理縣長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。