- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下一屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得340至354個席位嗎？100¢100%
- 在下屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中，統一俄羅斯黨會贏得少於280個席位嗎？0¢0%
- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下一屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得355席或以上嗎？0¢0%
- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得325至339個席位嗎？0¢0%
- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得280至294個席位嗎？0¢0%
- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下一屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得310到324個席位嗎？0¢0%
- 統一俄羅斯黨會在下屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得295到309個席位嗎？0¢0%
United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections underpins trader consensus around 340–354 seats. The party captured roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and prevailed in the large majority of single-mandate districts, producing a projected constitutional majority near its prior record of 343 seats. Official preliminary counts place the total at 349–355, with final certification by the Central Election Commission still pending. Minor revisions from remaining protocols or single-district recounts could shift the precise figure within or just outside the 340–354 range, though systemic factors such as the exclusion of non-systemic opposition and wartime voting arrangements have limited scope for larger swings.
規則
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.