- Hakeem Jeffries 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？14¢14%
- Katherine Clark 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？30¢30%
- Jim Jordan 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？52¢52%
- Steve Scalise 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？38¢38%
- Mike Johnson 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？7¢7%
- Tom Emmer 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？22¢22%
- Lisa McClain 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？11¢11%
- Kevin Hern 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？11¢11%
- Blake Moore 會成為 2026 年期中選舉後第一位眾議院少數黨領袖嗎？28¢28%
The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central factor keeping probabilities tightly clustered around even odds for multiple potential House Minority Leader candidates, since the chamber's partisan balance will dictate which conference selects its leadership. Traders are assessing internal party positioning, recent endorsements, and caucus dynamics ahead of the vote, with outcomes such as Jim Jordan at 42 percent reflecting perceived frontrunner status amid uncertainty over final seat totals. Historical precedent for post-election leadership contests shows that slim majorities or unexpected flips can trigger rapid realignments through floor votes or withdrawals. Scheduled election-night results and subsequent party meetings in the coming weeks represent the key catalysts that could separate contenders by clarifying which side enters the minority.
規則
本市場將依據首位獲選在第120屆美國國會擔任美國眾議院少數黨領袖的人士結算；該屆國會預定於2026年美國期中選舉後的2027年1月開議。 主要結算來源將是美國眾議院的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。