- EU／NATO 國家會在 12月31日 前宣布向烏克蘭派遣維和部隊嗎？4¢4%
European allies including the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Poland continue planning for potential post-ceasefire security arrangements in Ukraine through the Coalition of the Willing. In mid-October 2026, UK Defense Secretary Wes Streeting announced November exercises in Poland involving at least 1,500 troops to rehearse cross-border logistics, troop movements, and sustainment for a multinational force that could deter renewed Russian aggression after hostilities end. These drills build on agreements from the July Paris summit and earlier declarations of intent signed by UK, French, and Ukrainian leaders. No EU or NATO member has formally announced deployment of peacekeepers inside Ukraine, and Russia has repeatedly opposed any such presence. Upcoming November maneuvers and any diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire represent the nearest scheduled catalysts that could influence timing or announcements.
規則
如果任何 NATO 或 EU 成員國在 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布將派遣部隊前往烏克蘭，作為維和部隊的一部分，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 符合資格的公告必須是 NATO 或 EU 成員國與另一個國家或國際組織之間正式協議的一部分，或以其他方式表明已形成正式政策。 意向聲明、附帶條件的公告，或以其他方式未表明已形成正式政策的公告，均不予採計。 此市場的主要判定來源將是 NATO、EU 或任一組織成員國的官方資訊；但也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
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