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Recent developments center on efforts by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s allies to schedule Turkey’s next presidential and parliamentary elections for March or April 2028, rather than the scheduled May date. Presidential adviser Mehmet Ucum and MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli have publicly backed a parliamentary decision under Article 116 of the constitution to trigger an early vote during Erdoğan’s current term. This would require 360 votes in the 600-seat assembly—exceeding the roughly 326 seats held by the AKP-MHP alliance—and would permit Erdoğan to seek another term despite the two-term limit. The move aligns with statements framing 2028 as his final candidacy. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional pressures that could influence parliamentary arithmetic, while cabinet changes and constitutional reform discussions continue to shape succession dynamics ahead of any 2028 vote.
規則
若 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 在市場建立與指定日期（ET）之間的任何一段時間內不再擔任土耳其共和國總統，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在本市場結束日期之前宣布 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 辭職／被免職，無論該辭職／免職何時生效，本市場都將立即結算為「是」。 如果指定人士遭到拘留、實際上被撤離指定職位，或在本市場的時間範圍內以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定職位的職責，則符合結算為「是」的條件。 本市場的結算來源將是 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 與土耳其政府的官方資訊；不過，也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。