- 伊隆會在2026年9月發840至879條推文嗎？100¢100%
- 馬斯克會在2026年9月發880至919則推文嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆會在2026年9月發800到839條推文嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆在2026年9月會發推 920-959 次嗎？0¢0%
- Elon會在2026年9月發推文960到999次嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆在2026年9月會發推760至799次嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆會在2026年9月發推1000至1039次嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆會在2026年9月發推特720至759次嗎？0¢0%
- Elon 會在 2026 年 9 月發推 680-719 次嗎？0¢0%
- 馬斯克會在 2026 年 9 月發推 1040-1079 次嗎？0¢0%
- 伊隆會在2026年9月發推640至679次嗎？0¢0%
- 馬斯克會在2026年9月發推文達1400次或以上嗎？0¢0%
The verified tweet count from Elon Musk's X account for September 2026 landed squarely in the 840-879 range, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability. With the month concluded on October 1, real-time tracking of his activity—factoring in his typical daily volume, promotional posts for xAI and Tesla, and responses to major news—aligned precisely with this bin, leaving little room for variance. Traders betting on higher ranges like 880+ or lower saw their positions collapse as the data locked in. An upset would require an unexpected recount, platform data revision, or inclusion of deleted posts, scenarios that remain highly improbable given X's public archive and established counting methods used by market participants.
規則
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.