- Ekrem İmamoğlu 會在 2026 年獲釋嗎？5¢5%
Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since March 2025 on corruption charges in the sprawling Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality case, where prosecutors allege he led a criminal organization involving bribery, bid-rigging, and related offenses. The trial, involving 436 defendants, reached its 101st hearing on October 17, 2026, when the court ordered the release of seven co-defendants but explicitly continued İmamoğlu’s detention alongside 46 others, adjourning proceedings to November 2. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official imposed a two-year-one-month sentence and political ban, now under appeal. With the main case still in its evidentiary and defense phase and no verdict expected imminently, traders assess the likelihood of release before the end of 2026 as low.
規則
如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 在市場建立後至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 之間獲釋，該市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 獲釋但仍被軟禁，該市場仍將以「是」結算。 如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 獲准假釋、保釋，或在任何其他會使他離開國家羈押的條件下獲釋，該市場將以「是」結算。 將 Ekrem İmamoğlu 移送至其他羈押地點（例如矯正體系內的另一所監獄、法院或醫院），不足以使該市場以「是」結算。 為了在法院或國會作證等目的而暫時離開監獄，只要仍由矯正機關羈押，就不算獲釋。 此市場的主要判定依據將是政府機關或矯正部門發布的官方資訊；但也可採用可信新聞報導所形成的共識。
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