- Ed Davey 會在 12月31日 之前不再擔任 Liberal Democrats 黨魁嗎？5¢5%
Recent internal dissent within the Liberal Democrats, including frontbench resignations by MPs Charlie Maynard and Alison Bennett in early October 2026, briefly fueled rumors of a no-confidence vote against Ed Davey. However, a marathon parliamentary party meeting on October 13 produced no formal challenge or ballot, with deputy leader Daisy Cooper and a majority of MPs publicly affirming overwhelming support for Davey to continue. He pledged to embrace further changes and maintain a united front ahead of the next general election. With polling stagnant but no viable alternative leadership candidate emerging and only weeks remaining until year-end, the absence of sustained momentum for removal underpins trader consensus that Davey will remain in post through December 31.
規則
若 Ed Davey 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 期間的任何一段時間不再擔任 Liberal Democrats 黨魁，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在本市場結束日期前宣布 Ed Davey 辭職或遭免職，本市場將立即判定為「是」，不論宣布的辭職或免職何時生效。 本市場的判定依據為 Ed Davey 和 Liberal Democrats 的官方資訊；不過，也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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