- Doug Ford 會在 12月31日 前不再擔任進步保守黨黨魁嗎？4¢4%
Doug Ford's entrenched position as Ontario PC leader and premier, reinforced by his public commitments to seek a fourth term and active engagement in provincial governance through late 2026, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against his departure by year-end. Recent polling shows the PCs maintaining a lead amid economic pressures from U.S. trade tensions, while a September cabinet shuffle and October public appearances, including addresses on tariffs and federal-provincial coordination, signal ongoing party stability without leadership reviews or caucus challenges. Historical patterns of incumbent resilience in Ontario politics and the absence of organized internal opposition further support this view. Only an unforeseen health event, major scandal surfacing rapidly, or abrupt caucus revolt could realistically shift the outcome before December 31.
規則
如果 Doug Ford 在市場建立至指定日期（ET）之間的任何一段時間不再擔任安大略省進步保守黨黨魁，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在此市場結束日期前宣布 Doug Ford 辭職或被免職，此市場將立即判定為「是」，無論宣布的辭職或免職何時生效。 此市場的判定依據為 Doug Ford 和安大略省進步保守黨的官方資訊；但也可參考可信媒體報導所形成的共識。
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