Sean Combs is serving a 50-month federal sentence imposed in October 2025 after his July conviction on two Mann Act counts tied to transporting individuals for prostitution, with acquittals on the more serious racketeering and sex-trafficking charges. Bureau of Prisons records currently project a March 2, 2028 release from his low-security facility, recently adjusted later due to reports of contraband use, special treatment from inmates, and disciplinary incidents including fights and a head injury that prompted a transfer. His appeal remains pending without any rulings suggesting early relief, while civil litigation continues separately. These factors anchor trader consensus around the strong “No” odds, as the timeline and conduct issues make a 2026 release highly improbable absent extraordinary intervention.
如果 Sean 「Diddy」 Combs 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 之間獲釋,此市場將以「是」結算。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 如果 Sean Combs 獲釋但仍被軟禁,此市場仍將以「是」結算。 如果 Sean Combs 獲准假釋、保釋,或在任何其他導致其離開州方羈押的條件下獲釋,此市場將以「是」結算。 將 Sean Combs 移送至另一處羈押地點(例如矯正系統內的另一所監獄、法院或醫院),不足以使此市場以「是」結算。 為了在法院或國會作證等目的而暫時離開監獄,只要仍由矯正機關羈押,就不算獲釋。 此市場的主要判定依據將是政府機關或矯正部門發布的官方資訊;但也可採用可信新聞報導所形成的共識。
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