Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads trader consensus at 65% because Morena nationally designated her coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation in Colima, positioning her as the likely standard-bearer for the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance in the June 2027 gubernatorial election. PVEM state leaders have publicly closed ranks behind her following her record as Manzanillo mayor and federal deputy. Early October 2026 surveys place the Morena alliance at 35–42% statewide preference, ahead of fragmented opposition parties. Mely Romero Celis sits at 26% as the most prominent PRI figure mentioned in coalition talks. Virgilio Mendoza’s October resignation from PVEM leadership and his outreach to PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano for an opposition front have not yet consolidated alternative candidacies or shifted polling materially. The market reflects Morena’s structural advantage and the absence of a unified challenger more than seven months before voting.
目前預定於 2027年6月6日 在科利馬舉行州長選舉。 此市場將根據所列候選人中贏得 2027 年科利馬州長選舉者的結果結算。任何臨時或看守知事均不符合資格。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 尚未能確定結果,本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將根據本次選舉的結果結算,結果以可信媒體報導的共識為準。如有歧義,此市場將僅根據科利馬和墨西哥政府來源公布的官方結果結算,其中包括科利馬選舉委員會和墨西哥國家選舉委員會。
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