- Wang Mei-hui 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？78¢78%
- Chang Chi-kai 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？22¢22%
- Chen Chia-ping 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？3¢3%
- Weng Shou-liang 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？2¢2%
- Huang Hung-cheng 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
- Chen Kai-huang 會贏得下一屆嘉義市長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the clear lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 28 local election, reflecting the party's structural advantages in a traditionally green-leaning constituency and her established local profile. The opposition's unified backing of Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai after a joint KMT-TPP primary has consolidated support but has not closed the gap, as earlier polling showed Wang ahead by several points and outgoing KMT mayor Huang Min-hui's high approval has not fully transferred. Recent campaign developments, including Chang's public efforts to arrange debates and Wang's camp's consistent refusal, have reinforced perceptions of a stable frontrunner position without shifting the implied probabilities. Minor candidates and independents remain negligible in the pricing, consistent with historical patterns in this race.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 本市場將根據在此次選舉中當選嘉義市下一任市長的候選人來結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理市長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。