California voters will decide Proposition 5 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a legislative constitutional amendment that would eliminate the successor question from state recall elections and route vacancies through existing appointment, succession, or special election rules. A September Public Policy Institute of California survey of likely voters showed 59 percent opposing the measure and 35 percent supporting it, reflecting sustained resistance to changes proposed after the costly 2021 gubernatorial recall effort. Democrats in the legislature advanced the reform to address concerns over plurality winners and recall costs, while opponents, including Republican lawmakers and groups such as the Election Integrity Project California, argue it would reduce voter input on replacements and create representation gaps. This polling gap and partisan divide underpin trader consensus against passage.
第 5 號提案是加州的一項選票提案,目前預定於 2026年11月3日 投票。這將取消罷免後立即舉行的繼任者選舉。 如果指定的選票提案在目前預定於 2026年11月3日 舉行的加州全州普選中獲得過半數選民批准,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 如果截至 2027年3月31日 尚未就指定的選票提案進行投票,或其結果尚未得到確切確認,此市場將判定為「否」。 本市場將根據可信新聞報導所形成的共識進行判定。如有任何歧義,此市場將僅根據加州政府的官方資訊判定,包括加州州務卿辦公室的資訊(https://www.sos.ca.gov/)。
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