- Mike Thompson 會贏得 CA-04 的眾議院席位嗎？66¢66%
- Eric Jones 會贏得 CA-04 的眾議院席位嗎？32¢32%
Incumbent Mike Thompson holds a clear edge in the CA-04 general election due to his long congressional tenure, strong performance in the June top-two primary, and endorsements from Democratic leadership and labor groups. The district’s solid Democratic lean favors the veteran representative seeking a 15th term, even as challenger Eric Jones, a former venture capitalist, has self-funded record sums exceeding $18 million and secured some cross-party support. Recent debates highlighted differences on affordability, health care, and data centers, yet Jones trails significantly in early vote shares. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Thompson alongside Jones’s financial push, with the November 3 contest remaining the key resolution trigger.
規則
本市場將根據在 2026 年期中選舉中贏得美國眾議院 CA-04 國會選區席位的人士來結算。期中選舉將於 2026年11月4日 舉行。 本市場將根據可信報導所形成共識指出的選舉結果結算。如有任何歧義，本市場將僅依據美國政府公布的官方結果判定，具體而言，以聯邦選舉委員會（https://www.fec.gov/）公布的結果為準。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。