Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Goiás during the October 25 runoff, driven by his decisive first-round victory in the state with 53.6% of valid votes compared to Lula’s 31.1%. Right-wing consolidation has accelerated since then, with endorsements from defeated candidates including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema channeling additional support behind the PL nominee in this conservative-leaning agricultural state. National polling trends and the broader rightward shift evident in concurrent congressional results have reinforced expectations of continued dominance locally. Late shifts in turnout among undecided or third-party voters, or unexpected mobilization in Lula strongholds such as select northern municipalities, remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
總統選舉第二輪預定於 2026年10月25日 在巴西戈亞斯州舉行。 本市場將依據在本次選舉第二輪中於戈亞斯州獲得最多有效票的列名候選人進行結算。 候選人主要將依其在戈亞斯州贏得的有效票數排序。如果兩名或更多候選人在任何名次上並列,則依照本市場中列出的候選人全名的字母順序決定名次。套用此排名後,名次最高的候選人將是本市場的結果。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET 尚未能確定這場選舉的結果,本市場將結算為「其他」。 此市場將根據選舉結果結算,結果以可信新聞報導的共識為準。若結果有任何歧義,本市場將僅根據巴西政府公布的官方結果結算,具體而言是最高選舉法院(Tribunal Superior Eleitoral,TSE)公布的結果(例如:https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/)。
機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。