- 路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦會以少於5%的差距贏得2026年巴西總統大選首輪投票嗎？51¢
- 盧拉·達席爾瓦會以5–10%的差距在2026年巴西總統選舉首輪勝出嗎？12¢
- 路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦會在2026年巴西總統大選第一輪中以10–15%的優勢獲勝嗎？2¢
- 路易斯·伊納西奧·魯拉·達席爾瓦會以至少15%的優勢在2026年巴西總統大選第一輪勝出嗎？<1¢
- 弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅是否會以不到5%的優勢贏得2026年巴西總統大選的第一輪選舉？30¢
- 弗拉維奧·波索納羅會以5-10%的優勢贏得2026年巴西總統大選第一輪嗎？8¢
- 弗拉維奧·博索納羅是否會在2026年巴西總統大選第一輪中以至少10%的優勢獲勝？1¢
- 雷南·桑托斯會贏得2026年巴西總統大選的第一輪選舉嗎？<1¢
- 塔西西歐·德·弗雷塔斯會在2026年巴西總統選舉第一輪勝出嗎？<1¢
- 卡洛斯·羅伯托·馬薩·儒尼奧爾會贏得2026年巴西總統大選的第一輪選舉嗎？<1¢
- 會有其他人在2026年巴西總統選舉第一輪獲勝嗎？<1¢
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).