Olivia Rodrigo’s “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love” holds the strongest market position at 66% implied probability thanks to its sustained Billboard 200 dominance since the June release, including a recent return to No. 1 on the Oct. 31 chart with 75,000 equivalent units fueled by the mid-October “Expectations” remix featuring Chappell Roan. The project has stayed in the top five for 19 weeks while benefiting from strong streaming, a sold-out Unraveled Tour, and the Nov. 5 debut of her first holiday single “Take Me Home (4 Christmas),” which should add fresh consumption during the relevant tracking period. Limited major competition from releases like Ella Langley’s “Dandelion,” Taylor Swift’s “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore,” Zach Bryan’s latest, LISA’s “Press Play,” Queens of the Stone Age’s “Perfecth,” or Drake’s “HABIBTI (FOMO)” keeps the field fragmented, supporting the current trader consensus around Rodrigo’s established momentum.
Billboard 每週二更新 Billboard 200 專輯榜(部分假期週會調整發布時程),反映前一週(星期五至星期四)的數據。每期 Billboard 榜單隨後會標註日期:「截至(下一個星期六的日期)當週」。 本市場將根據標註為「截至 2026年11月14日 當週」的 Billboard 200 榜單第 1 名專輯進行結算。專輯主要依照其在指定榜單上的排名排序。若有兩張或以上專輯並列任何名次,則依榜單所列專輯名稱的字母順序決定名次。套用此排名方式後,本市場將以排名最高的專輯為結算結果。 相關榜單一經發布,本市場即會結算。若指定週的 Billboard 200 榜單未在預計發布日期起 14 個日曆日內發布,本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場的結算依據為指定週的 Billboard 200 榜單,該榜單將發布於 Billboard 網站(https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/)或其他 Billboard 官方管道。
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