- Ilija Srdanović 會成為塞爾維亞總理，而 Iliana Iotova 會在保加利亞勝出嗎？13¢13%
- Aleksandar Vučić 會成為塞爾維亞總理，而 Iliana Iotova 會在保加利亞勝出嗎？2¢2%
The closely matched probabilities in this Serbia-Bulgaria combo market reflect parallel uncertainties in both contests and the specific pairing of outcomes. Bulgaria’s November 1 presidential runoff pits incumbent Iliana Iotova, backed by the Progressive Bulgaria party and emphasizing diplomatic engagement, against Andrey Gyurov, supported by pro-Western reformist groups and favoring stronger alignment with Ukraine. Low first-round turnout and a narrow initial margin have kept the Bulgarian result fluid. In Serbia, the October 25 parliamentary vote delivered a strong performance for the Student List, shifting momentum away from Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list and raising prospects for a new prime minister such as Ilija Srdanović. Traders price the Srdanović-Iotova pairing highest among listed combos because it aligns the likeliest Serbian leadership change with the Bulgarian frontrunner, yet dispersed volume across many outcomes and lingering vote-count variables in both countries sustain the tight distribution.
規則
塞爾維亞預定於 2026年10月25日 舉行議會選舉。保加利亞總統選舉第一輪預定於 2026年10月25日 舉行。 此市場將以唯一符合以下兩項條件的所列結果結算：因選舉而宣誓就任的首位塞爾維亞總理，以及保加利亞總統選舉的勝選者。 塞爾維亞總理的完整規則請點此查看：https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 保加利亞總統選舉的完整規則請點此查看：https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election 在市場建立至結算期間，本市場可能新增其他選項。 若任何組成市場結算為「其他」，本市場將結算為「其他」。 本市場將根據上方連結的兩個市場所列出的來源結算。
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