Strong presales momentum, now exceeding $125 million worldwide and $65 million domestically with roughly 48 days until release, anchors trader confidence in a blockbuster domestic debut for Avengers: Doomsday. The Russo brothers’ multiverse ensemble—featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, returning stars like Chris Evans and Chris Hemsworth, the Fantastic Four, and X-Men cast members—drives exceptional advance demand, with heavy emphasis on premium large-format tickets. This positions the December 18 film to challenge or surpass the $360 million record set by Spider-Man: Brand New Day, though same-day competition from Dune: Part Three for IMAX screens introduces downside risk. Forecasts range widely from the low $260 millions to $450 million, explaining why the 360–400 million band leads at 36% implied probability while the 400 million+ outcome sits close behind at 28.5%. Further presales updates and marketing surges remain the key near-term catalysts.
此市場將根據《Avengers: Doomsday》上映首個週末在國內票房的收入結算。待上映首週末(天數:3)(12月18日 - 20) 的數值確定後(即不再是片商預估),將使用這部電影 The Numbers 頁面 (https://www.the-numbers.com/) 上「Box Office」分頁中的「Daily Box Office Performance」數據來結算此市場。 如果公布的數值恰好落在兩個級距之間,本市場將按較高的級距結算。 請注意,本市場將依據 The Numbers 在「Weekend Box Office Performance」項下提供的週末數據(週末天數:3)進行判定;該數據通常包含週四的預映場次。無論「美國本土」指的是僅美國,還是美國與加拿大等地,皆適用此規則。 如果無法確定判定來源的數據是否為最終數據,本市場將保持開放,直到 https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ 和 https://www.the-numbers.com/ 均確認其最終數據。 如果截至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET,《Avengers: Doomsday》尚未上映,或沒有最終數據,此市場將以最低區間結算。
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