The Alaska U.S. Senate race between Democratic challenger Mary Peltola and incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan remains too close to call, with Peltola holding a slim lead of roughly 600 votes at 48.2% to 47.9% after about 74% of ballots reported. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system requires tabulation of second and subsequent preferences if no candidate reaches a first-choice majority, a process scheduled to begin November 18 after additional mail and absentee ballots are counted on November 10 and 13. The Associated Press has not projected a winner because preliminary tallies show both major candidates below 50%, other candidates including Gerald Heikes and Daniel J. Sullivan split the remainder, and legal challenges tied to the namesake candidate continue. Certification is set for November 25, leaving traders focused on the pace of remaining ballots and any shifts from ranked-choice redistribution.
如果美聯社(AP)在市場建立後至指定時間 下午11:59 ET 之間宣布阿拉斯加州 2026 年美國參議院大選的勝選者,此市場將結算為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 宣布勝選是指 AP 公開宣告該場選舉的勝選者。宣布任何一位候選人勝選都符合條件。任何其他新聞機構所做的宣布、預測或宣告,以及阿拉斯加州政府對選舉結果的認證,均不符合條件。在指定期間內做出的宣布,即使之後撤回,仍符合條件。 此市場的主要結算來源為美聯社;但也可採用可信報導的共識。
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