Anthropic’s pending IPO, with an S-1 filing in late October 2026 and a Nasdaq roadshow underway targeting up to $1.4 trillion valuation, drives the 95.6% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. The company has secured massive independent funding, including a $65 billion round at $965 billion valuation in May 2026, alongside surging revenue exceeding $17 billion in Q3 and strategic compute partnerships with Google, Nvidia, and Broadcom. Founder-controlled governance via a 50.1% voting bloc further supports its standalone path. While regulatory delays to the listing or an unforeseen bid could theoretically intervene in the narrow remaining window, trader consensus views these as low-probability given the advanced IPO momentum and demonstrated scale in large language model development.
如果可信報導證實任何實體在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前與 Anthropic 達成收購協議,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 若合併後 Anthropic 被納入另一實體,該合併將計入「是」的判定。 Anthropic 與收購方實體之間已宣布的協議,將符合「是」的判定條件,無論收購最終是否完成。 此市場判定的主要依據是 Anthropic 和/或其領導層的官方資訊,但也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。