- 到12月31日為止，Elon會再有一個孩子嗎？11¢11%
Trader consensus heavily favors no additional Elon Musk child arriving by year-end, with the "No" outcome priced at 88.3%. Recent personal developments explain the positioning: Shivon Zilis, mother of four of his children, publicly announced their abrupt romantic split on October 2, 2026, while ongoing custody and support disputes with Ashley St. Clair (mother of Romulus, born 2024) continue in the courts. No credible reports or announcements indicate any partner is currently pregnant or expecting a delivery in the remaining weeks of 2026, despite Musk’s public emphasis on population growth. The short timeline to December 31 leaves little room for an unannounced birth, and recent media focus on family documentaries and legal matters has not surfaced new developments that would shift sentiment. Key near-term catalysts include any direct statements from known partners or unexpected announcements, though the current information flow supports the market’s strong lean.
規則
若在市場建立至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 之間，埃隆·馬斯克又有一名子女一事獲得確認，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 任何由埃隆·馬斯克明確聲稱是其子女，或經可信報導普遍確認是其子女的人，都符合資格。 符合條件的懷孕公告也會計入。 本市場的結算來源將是埃隆·馬斯克提供的資訊，以及可信報導的普遍共識。
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