- 阿巴斯·阿拉格齊會在2026年12月31日前不再擔任伊朗外交部長嗎？10¢10%
Abbas Araghchi remains Iran's Foreign Minister as of early November 2026, continuing active diplomacy on post-conflict de-escalation, Strait of Hormuz access, and regional talks with Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and others. He has participated in mediation efforts tied to the 2026 war ceasefire and nuclear-related consultations. Earlier internal pressures included hardline parliamentary impeachment motions in October 2026 over unauthorized U.S. contacts and reported tensions with President Pezeshkian and parliamentary leadership in September regarding Revolutionary Guard influence. These challenges have not led to removal, though cabinet dynamics and Supreme National Security Council decisions under the current administration could still shift his position ahead of any market resolution date.
規則
如果 Abbas Araghchi 在市場建立至指定日期（ET）之間的任何一段時間內不再擔任伊朗外交部長，此市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在此市場結束日期之前宣布 Abbas Araghchi 辭職或遭免職，此市場將立即結算為「是」，無論宣布的辭職或免職何時生效。 如果指定人士遭到拘留、實際上被撤離指定職位，或在本市場的時間範圍內以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定職位的職責，則符合結算為「是」的條件。 此市場的結算依據將是 Abbas Araghchi 和伊朗政府的官方資訊；但也可以採用可信媒體報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。