Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Chính trịIranBầu cửHoa KỳStrait of HormuzDầuThượng việnĐịa chính trịBầu cử giữa kỳ

• Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?2¢
• Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?3¢
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?32¢
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?62¢

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.