- Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?28¢
- Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?13¢
- Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?19¢
- Will Harvey Lennon win the next Hobart mayoral election?10¢
- Will Mike Dutta win the next Hobart mayoral election?2¢
- Will Marti Zucco win the next Hobart mayoral election?9¢
- Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?35¢
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
The open field created by incumbent Anna Reynolds's decision not to seek re-election has produced a fragmented contest for Hobart Lord Mayor ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Multiple sitting councillors including John Kelly, Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta have entered alongside Harvey Lennon, with Kelly's recent candidacy adding another independent voice focused on transport and leadership issues. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead amid overlapping profiles and limited polling data. Nominations opened September 7, leaving room for further entries or shifts in preferences that could consolidate support before postal voting concludes.