- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?18¢18%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?30¢30%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?38¢38%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?53¢53%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?67¢67%
Recent confirmation from Elon Musk that special independent committees at Tesla and SpaceX are exploring a potential merger has driven trader sentiment, citing synergies in artificial intelligence, superintelligence software, chip design via the TeraFab joint venture, robotics, and orbital connectivity. The companies formed these panels in recent weeks at shareholder request, though no terms have been agreed and Musk is excluded due to conflicts. Key hurdles include securing approval from 50% of all Tesla shares outstanding and possible regulatory scrutiny. Tesla’s December 3 shareholder meeting and ongoing AI/robotics milestones could catalyze further developments or clarify timelines.
Правила
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.