- İhracat kontrolü çip güvenliği bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?43¢%43
- AI çipi ihracat lisansı bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?14¢%14
- Veri merkezi hizmet bedeli koruması bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?14¢%14
- FISA Bölüm 702'nin yeniden yetkilendirilmesi bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?13¢%13
- NO FAKES Yasası bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?11¢%11
- Kritik mineraller stok rezervi bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?9¢%9
- Kredi kartı yönlendirme rekabeti bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?7¢%7
- Film/TV prodüksiyon giderlemesi bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?7¢%7
- Trump Havalimanı bu yıl yasalaşacak mı?6¢%6
- DEFIANCE Yasası bu yıl yürürlüğe girecek mi?5¢%5
- SELF DRIVE Yasası bu yıl yürürlüğe girecek mi?5¢%5
- SHOWER Yasası bu yıl yürürlüğe girecek mi?5¢%5
- %1%42,5İhracat kontrolü çip güvenliği$5,8 B hacim
- %3%14AI çipi ihracat lisansı$8,4 B hacim
- %4%14Veri merkezi hizmet bedeli koruması$4,7 B hacim
- %4%12,5FISA Bölüm 702'nin yeniden yetkilendirilmesi$119,1 B hacim
- %11NO FAKES Yasası$795,3 hacim
- %1%8,5Kritik mineraller stok rezervi$2,3 B hacim
- %7,3Kredi kartı yönlendirme rekabeti$1,4 B hacim
- %1%7,1Film/TV prodüksiyon giderlemesi$3,9 B hacim
- %2%6,4Trump Havalimanı$2,6 B hacim
- %5,2DEFIANCE Yasası$1,6 B hacim
- %2%5SELF DRIVE Yasası$957,7 hacim
- %4,6SHOWER Yasası$1,1 B hacim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The compressed lame-duck session of the 119th Congress, beginning November 9 with fewer than 25 legislative days before adjournment, remains the dominant factor shaping probabilities for specific bills reaching enactment by December 31. Recent midterm results delivered Democratic majorities in both chambers starting in January, narrowing the window for Republican-led priorities while elevating must-pass measures such as appropriations extensions, the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act, and surface transportation reauthorizations. Low overall enactment rates—roughly 138 public laws from nearly 20,000 introductions—reflect persistent gridlock, with most activity limited to reauthorizations and narrow bipartisan items. Traders price narrow technical or sectoral proposals like export controls or data-center measures higher than broader or contested legislation, given the risk that unfinished business carries over to a new Congress.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6644 (119th) — Housing for the 21st Century Act. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.