- Putin ve Zelenskyy, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar bir araya gelmeyecek mi?81¢%81
- Putin ve Zelenskyy bir sonraki kez Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde mi buluşacak?3¢%3
- Putin ve Zelenskyy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Rusya'da yapacak mı?2¢%2
- Putin ve Zelenskyy bir sonraki kez İsviçre'de buluşacak mı?2¢%2
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Türkiye'de yapacak mı?2¢%2
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Kazakistan'da yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Macaristan'da yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Belarus'ta yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Ukrayna'da yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskiy bir sonraki görüşmelerini Sırbistan'da yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskyy bir sonraki görüşmelerini BAE'de yapacak mı?1¢%1
- Putin ve Zelenskyy bir sonraki buluşmalarını Güney Afrika'da gerçekleştirecek mi?1¢%1
%1%80,531 Aralık 2027'ye kadar buluşma yok$47 B hacim
%3,5Amerika Birleşik Devletleri$6,6 B hacim
%1%2,2Rusya$3,4 B hacim
%2,1İsviçre$3,8 B hacim
%1%1,6Türkiye$5,8 B hacim
%1,4Kazakistan$4,1 B hacim
%1,3Macaristan$3,6 B hacim
%1,3Belarus$4,1 B hacim
%1,3Ukrayna$3,6 B hacim
%1,3Sırbistan$4,7 B hacim
%1,2BAE$4,9 B hacim- %1,2Güney Afrika$3,5 B hacim
Recent diplomatic momentum centers on U.S.-mediated trilateral technical talks scheduled for November 10-11 in Abu Dhabi, aimed at discussing security guarantees and de-escalation steps after years of stalled negotiations. However, core disputes over territorial claims, security arrangements, and meeting venues continue to block direct leader-level engagement, with Putin reiterating offers tied to Moscow while Zelenskyy insists on neutral ground. These longstanding differences, reinforced by ongoing military operations and unyielding positions on key issues, underpin the market's strong consensus around no bilateral summit by late 2027. Recent U.S. envoy shuttling has revived process talks but produced no breakthrough on conditions for a Putin-Zelenskyy encounter, keeping probabilities for specific locations minimal.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.